Delphi Method
Who developed the Delphi Method?
The Delphi method was created by Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer of the Rand Corporation in the 1950s to address specific military challenges.
What are the types of Delphi Methods?
There are three types of Delphi Methods and Surveys: Policy is used for devising strategies; Classical is employed for forecasting future trends; and Decision-Making facilitates better decision-making processes.
Can you provide an example of the Delphi Technique?
The Delphi Method is a forecasting process where experts fill out questionnaires, offering their opinions. The initiator or facilitator then compiles and summarizes these views into a coherent report, aiming to reach a group consensus.
How many experts are involved in a Delphi Study?
A minimum of 12 respondents shall be considered sufficient to attain consensus in Delphi exercises. While larger sample sizes can be used, they may yield diminishing returns regarding the validity of the findings.
What is the structure of the Delphi Method?
The Delphi method, prominently known as Estimate-Talk-Estimate (ETE), is a structured communication technique developed for systematic and interactive forecasting. It relies on a panel of experts to provide insights and opinions in a structured manner.